Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.003375 0.003541 0.003711 0.003898 0.004098 0.004306 0.004539
2025-05-18 0.003064 0.003309 0.003570 0.003869 0.004203 0.004566 0.004993
2025-05-25 0.002924 0.003222 0.003547 0.003931 0.004374 0.004871 0.005477
2025-06-01 0.002776 0.003106 0.003474 0.003918 0.004444 0.005051 0.005812
2025-06-08 0.002643 0.002995 0.003394 0.003886 0.004481 0.005183 0.006087
2025-06-15 0.002511 0.002876 0.003297 0.003823 0.004471 0.005252 0.006280
2025-06-22 0.002401 0.002776 0.003214 0.003771 0.004467 0.005322 0.006472
2025-06-29 0.002331 0.002720 0.003180 0.003773 0.004527 0.005471 0.006768
2025-07-06 0.002210 0.002597 0.003059 0.003661 0.004437 0.005421 0.006796
2025-07-13 0.002155 0.002552 0.003032 0.003664 0.004491 0.005558 0.007077
2025-07-20 0.002127 0.002539 0.003043 0.003716 0.004609 0.005781 0.007486
2025-07-27 0.002063 0.002478 0.002990 0.003681 0.004610 0.005846 0.007674
2025-08-03 0.002007 0.002426 0.002947 0.003659 0.004627 0.005935 0.007904
2025-08-10 0.001951 0.002373 0.002903 0.003633 0.004638 0.006014 0.008121
2025-08-17 0.001934 0.002369 0.002921 0.003690 0.004763 0.006259 0.008596
2025-08-24 0.001891 0.002329 0.002889 0.003678 0.004792 0.006365 0.008865
2025-08-31 0.001843 0.002281 0.002847 0.003649 0.004794 0.006431 0.009074
2025-09-07 0.001787 0.002221 0.002785 0.003591 0.004752 0.006429 0.009175
2025-09-14 0.001737 0.002168 0.002732 0.003543 0.004721 0.006443 0.009299
2025-09-21 0.001708 0.002143 0.002714 0.003545 0.004764 0.006567 0.009609
2025-09-28 0.001643 0.002066 0.002626 0.003442 0.004647 0.006443 0.009502
2025-10-05 0.001617 0.002044 0.002611 0.003444 0.004688 0.006564 0.009808
2025-10-12 0.001609 0.002044 0.002627 0.003492 0.004798 0.006795 0.010317